Bitcoin (BTC) Futures: A Shift to Scarcity

January 23, 2019  /  by Bill Noble
Given the importance of Bitcoin futures, we decided to plot the prices of the various futures contracts out until June. The data for the CME contract is shown in Figure 1. Data is as of Jan. 23. Looking at the graph of the CME contract, the line has a downward slope (Figure 1). In futures… Read more

Bitcoin (BTC) What If: Return to the Mean

January 23, 2019  /  by Bill Noble
It seems that when Bitcoin has entered a period of apathy and quiet despair. There was a tweet yesterday from a marquee crypto Twitter figure saying he was more interested in shorting Apple (AAPL) and trading day alts than he was in Bitcoin (BTC). CNBC published an article yesterday from the Davos conference. The headlined… Read more

Market Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) Tests $3,500 Support Level and Then Surges Two Percent; Most Major Cryptocurrencies in the Green Today; February Rally Possible

January 22, 2019  /  by Zachary Mashiach
There was anomalous trading activity this morning on the Bitcoin (BTC) spot market with Bitcoin plunging from $3,520 to $3,400 in about five minutes before returning to $3,520 15 minutes later. This indicates someone dumped a large number of Bitcoin all at once, but there is so much fundamental support at $3,500 that other traders… Read more

Crypto.IQ Daily Radio Show Jan. 22, Wyckoff and CME Futures Expiration Suggest February Crypto Rally

January 22, 2019  /  by Zachary Mashiach
On this edition of the Crypto.IQ Daily Radio Show we do a deep dive market analysis. Bitcoin (BTC) has solid support at $3,500, and the Wyckoff chart suggests a bottom will happen at the start of February, followed by a rally. The fundamental support at $3,500 combined with the CME Bitcoin futures expiration also suggests… Read more

Bitcoin (BTC): Basing Signals on Our Radar

January 22, 2019  /  by Bill Noble
The recent chop in Bitcoin (BTC) may be having a surprising effect. It is creating disillusionment in the institutional community. Said differently, Bitcoin (BTC) is boring people to tears, and people seem to think Bitcoin (BTC) is “dead money.” That implies people think Bitcoin (BTC) is not going anywhere, so committing capital won’t produce any… Read more

Crypto.IQ Daily Radio Show: In-Depth Market Analysis, Bakkt Physical Bitcoin Futures Discussion, Ethereum Hard Fork Deep Dive

January 21, 2019  /  by Zachary Mashiach
Crypto.IQ Daily Radio Show: In-Depth Market Analysis, Bakkt Physical Bitcoin Futures Explained, Ethereum (ETH) Constantinople Hard Fork Deep Dive Listen to the January 21 Crypto.IQ Daily Radio Show Below On this edition of the Crypto.IQ Daily Radio Show we discuss price movements for all the major cryptocurrencies and do an in-depth analysis on the dynamics… Read more

Bitcoin (BTC): Can you Believe in a Base?

January 21, 2019  /  by Bill Noble
Over the weekend, Bitcoin (BTC) volatility produced a rally to the 21-day moving average (blue line curved, Figure 1). Bitcoin (BTC) hit the average, and the bears pounced. So, Bitcoin’s (BTC) attempt to generate upside momentum failed quite badly. The only good news about the failed rally and subsequent decline is it nicely followed our… Read more

Market Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) Encounters Strong Resistance at $3,700 Level During Rally, Crashes To $3,500. All Major Cryptocurrencies in the Red

January 20, 2019  /  by Zachary Mashiach
Over the last 48 hours, the crypto markets have returned to a state of turbulence after several days of stable conditions. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) rapidly rallied from $3,630 to $3,775 on Jan. 19. The entire rally lasted less than 30 minutes, suggesting it was fueled by automated trading bots responding to a short… Read more

Market Analysis: Total Crypto Market Cap Decreases $1 Billion, All Major Cryptocurrencies Down Slightly

January 18, 2019  /  by Zachary Mashiach
Bitcoin (BTC) has decreased from $3,650 to $3,610, about a one percent loss. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) continues to be well below the critical $3,900 resistance level, and below the $3,700 resistance level as well, which has been dominant since the 10 percent price crash on Jan. 10. Today, all major cryptocurrencies are in… Read more

Bitcoin (BTC): S&P (SPY) and VIX as a Bitcoin (BTC) Barometer

January 18, 2019  /  by Bill Noble
There are likely three reasons for the recent stock market rally. First, massive bearish hyperbole in the media at the end of last year led everyone to predict lower stocks prices and a recession in 2019. As one great analyst used to say, “When everyone expects the same thing, something else happens.” In this case,… Read more
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